Interesting. From my limited knowledge it seems that Turkey is the winner here. However when I look at Syria now it seems HTS only has power over a weak rump state with large areas controlled by Turkey, Kurds and US, and Israel now grabbing more land. Also the military and government infrastructure has been destroyed by massive Israeli bombing raids. I also would like to know about potential challenges to HTS rule now appearing - the 3,000 former members of the Syrian Army now in Iraq with all their equipment, the refusal of the Druze militia to disarm, the possibility of Alawite pushback, the formidable Hizbollah and its links to the Syrian Shia, the Hashd Al Shaabi in Iraq who could come to the defence of Syrian Shia, the Kurds and their control of the Northeast. Anyway it looks like Syria won’t be put back together again and I don’t see any period of stability ahead.
Interesting. From my limited knowledge it seems that Turkey is the winner here. However when I look at Syria now it seems HTS only has power over a weak rump state with large areas controlled by Turkey, Kurds and US, and Israel now grabbing more land. Also the military and government infrastructure has been destroyed by massive Israeli bombing raids. I also would like to know about potential challenges to HTS rule now appearing - the 3,000 former members of the Syrian Army now in Iraq with all their equipment, the refusal of the Druze militia to disarm, the possibility of Alawite pushback, the formidable Hizbollah and its links to the Syrian Shia, the Hashd Al Shaabi in Iraq who could come to the defence of Syrian Shia, the Kurds and their control of the Northeast. Anyway it looks like Syria won’t be put back together again and I don’t see any period of stability ahead.
Thanks for sharing your excellent expertise!