Syria’s fragile balance has been shattered again raising critical questions about the future of Syria and the region. Let me break down the complex web of actors and agendas.
Correct me if I am wrong, but it seems now that a double offensive is taking place. The one led by HTS against pro-regime troops in Aleppo-Hamaa, and a paralell, opportunistic (and rather under-reported) one led by SNA against the SDF-controlled territories.
Do you think that is wise (strategically speaking) for Turkey to try to implement now its plan of a so-called buffer zone in Northern Syria ? What are the prospects for the SDF-area ? What is the stance of US - and US troops in Deir-es Zor on this ?
Might there be a growing rift between HTS ans SNS on this issue- I have read reports of tensions.
Thank you for the clear analysis- I like that you do not speculate too much on the possible outcomes !
Yes, it looks like there is a side offensive by the SNA against the YPG. I’m not sure about the stance of the US troops, to be honest. What we do know is that they don’t want the SDF to clash with the HTS-led forces.
Great article to understand region dynamics
Correct me if I am wrong, but it seems now that a double offensive is taking place. The one led by HTS against pro-regime troops in Aleppo-Hamaa, and a paralell, opportunistic (and rather under-reported) one led by SNA against the SDF-controlled territories.
Do you think that is wise (strategically speaking) for Turkey to try to implement now its plan of a so-called buffer zone in Northern Syria ? What are the prospects for the SDF-area ? What is the stance of US - and US troops in Deir-es Zor on this ?
Might there be a growing rift between HTS ans SNS on this issue- I have read reports of tensions.
Thank you for the clear analysis- I like that you do not speculate too much on the possible outcomes !
Yes, it looks like there is a side offensive by the SNA against the YPG. I’m not sure about the stance of the US troops, to be honest. What we do know is that they don’t want the SDF to clash with the HTS-led forces.